Americans overall are far more assured that the nation's votes for president is going to be cast and counted accurately this 12 months than they had been in 2008. What ever the outcome, on the other hand, almost 8 in ten state that when all of the states have licensed their vote counts, the shedding candidate has an obligation to accept the outcomes and concede for the winner.
Expectations that the Democratic Party's presidential nominee will win are widespread and developing. The 68% who say they assume a Clinton win now is up from 59% around Labor Day and 55% back in June just after the primaries ended. Republicans and Trump supporters are the sole groups, amid which less than half believe Clinton will eventually win.
Amid Clinton's own supporters, 93% assume her to win the election, even though just 57% of Trump's backers say they are expecting him to carry the day. Voters who support Trump however count on Clinton to win are additional apt than Trump backers who believe he'll win to state that the loser on the election has an obligation to concede (72% amid Trump backers who say Clinton's planning to win, 55% among people who consider Trump will).
General, 66% of Americans say that they've got no less than some self-confidence that votes for president will probably be accurately cast and counted in this year's election, up from 58% who mentioned so all over this time in 2008 and also a bit under the 72% who had that considerably self-confidence heading in towards the 2004 election
Within the new poll, candidate assistance and partisanship are primary dividers on whether Americans have confidence in the vote count, with 88% of Clinton's supporters confident vs. 49% of Trump backers, and equivalent divides by party (86% of Democrats are confident vs. 54% of Republicans).
That's a reversal from 2004, when Democrats had been much less assured during the system than Republicans heading in to the initial presidential election following the Florida recount which resulted in George W. Bush's victory there by a handful of hundred votes. Back then, 59% of Democrats expressed self confidence during the technique vs. 87% of Republicans.
By 2008, issues with regards to the integrity of elections have been nearly equally shared across party lines, about 6 in 10 Democrats (59% assured) and Republicans (58% confident) had not less than some faith while in the election method.
In the new poll, 77% state that whoever loses immediately after each state has officially certified its vote for president has an obligation to accept the results and concede. But just 35% say they imagine that if Trump loses he will accept the outcomes and concede the moment votes are licensed, 61% say he'll not. That doubt lies principally amid people who usually do not help Trump. Amongst his personal backers, 56% say they feel he will accept the outcome and concede if he loses, while 75% of those that help Clinton think he will not.
Fewer (22%) doubt that Clinton will accept the outcomes if she loses, but once more, her very own supporters are additional apt to say she will than are those who back her opponent; 95% of Clinton backers say she will vs. 59% of Trump supporters.
The CNN/ORC poll was performed by phone October 20-23 amongst a random nationwide sample of 1,017 adults, which includes 916 registered voters. The margin of sampling error for results amid the total sample and among registered voters is plus or minus 3 percentage points.